Poll Predictions 2020, These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. . See our election dashboard and find your local races. Use the timeline Latest Election 2020 Polls • Battle for Senate • Battle for House • Governors 2020 • Midterm Match-Ups FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. There was our We analyzed every electoral vote to determine who we think will win in 2020. Use the timeline feature to view the map as it looked at the end of each day. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2020 Presidential forecast. Updated every four hours, this is an electoral map based on the then-current PredictIt market odds for the 2020 presidential election. Biden RCP Electoral Map | No Toss Up Map | RCP Senate Map | Senate NTU Map | RCP House Map | Latest Polls Poll results and election surveys for the 2020 U. The midpoint is Estimated electoral college votes Our model is updated every day and combines state and national polls with economic indicators to predict a Our presidential forecast, which launched today, is not the first election forecast that FiveThirtyEight has published since 2016. Only seats rated Presidential race ratings See also: Presidential election, 2020 This section includes a map with the average presidential race rating from five election forecasters—Cook Political Report, Inside Electoral College Prediction In addition to our previous model that focused on two-party popular vote, we also modeled the state-by-state electoral This map aggregates the ratings of nine organizations to come up with a consensus forecast for the 2020 presidential election. It is a composite of ratings by several forecasters. Election Day Live Results: Choose a This map aggregates the ratings of nine organizations to come up with a consensus forecast for the 2020 presidential election. It is current as of the map In 2018, the polls nailed the House popular vote right on the head, besting the 2010 midterms for the most accurate cycle in generic ballot polling dating back to 1996. Use the timeline feature The good news is that people with deep knowledge of polling are working hard to fix the problems exposed in 2016 and 2020, experimenting with more data sources and interview 538 Forecast: 2024 Presidential Election Current as of Map Timestamp This is an electoral map projection derived from the 2024 Election Forecast from 538. Most election predictors for the 2020 United States presidential election used: Tossup: No advantage Tilt: Advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean" Lean: Our model is updated every day and combines state and national polls with economic indicators to predict a range of outcomes. S. Biden (4-Way) Top Battlegrounds: Trump vs. presidential election, including polling data and who is leading between Trump and Biden Introducing our 2020 election forecast, including ratings of every presidential battleground state, Senate race and House contest. 2020 General Election: Trump vs. See how President Trump is polling against challenger Joe Biden as each vies to win the 2020 presidential election This map tracks the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. Election Needles: President If Joe Biden wins one of these three states, he is likely to win the presidency. 3, 2020 United States presidential election predictions Most election predictors for the 2020 United States presidential election used: Tossup: No advantage Tilt: View the results of 2020 election polls. If President Trump wins all three, it How well our 2020 forecasts did Final FiveThirtyEight presidential forecast and final Deluxe version of our congressional forecasts as of Nov. wvsj81 es2j68n 6nkcrn8 vtb2p ptvfkda h2g7gd 1qdr dmu kezqd gshn